P01 · Demand · Rendered from source

lane state

Client intelligence and discovery

202 lines10,100 bytessha256 b5ebf623a7a2
{
  "schema_version": "actionist.lane-state.v1",
  "part": "P01",
  "lane": "S1-L1",
  "agent": "ACTIONIST-S1-L1-DEMAND",
  "run_id": "2026-08-27-sprint-1-fable",
  "observed": "2026-08-27",
  "status": "packet_complete_unpromoted",
  "sprint_complete": false,
  "promotion_status": "unpromoted",
  "parent_goal_status": "active",
  "model": {
    "lane_owner": "fable-5-1m for checkpoints 1-3, continued on opus-5-1m from checkpoint 3 onward at operator direction",
    "subagent_policy": "opus_only",
    "subagents_dispatched": [
      {
        "name": "s1l1-com-a",
        "model": "opus",
        "scope": "P01 commercial survey",
        "status": "complete_no_report",
        "note": "files verified on disk; completion report requested and not returned before close"
      },
      {
        "name": "s1l1-oss-b",
        "model": "opus",
        "scope": "P01 OSS survey",
        "status": "complete"
      },
      {
        "name": "s1l1-adversary",
        "model": "opus",
        "scope": "independent challenge",
        "status": "dispatched_no_verdict_returned_before_close",
        "note": "Independent challenge did not return before lane close. Both corrections applied to this packet (disjointness overreach; invasiveness-ladder axis conflation) came from the LANE OWNER's own audit, not from this agent. Claims 2/3/5 — no maintained permissive OSS interview engine, 1-of-55 stopping rules, evidence-attribution hygiene — are SELF-ASSESSED ONLY and have NOT been independently reviewed. Coordinator should treat them accordingly."
      }
    ],
    "policy_violations": 0
  },
  "counts": {
    "commercial_surfaces": 55,
    "oss_surfaces": 50,
    "local_sources": 10,
    "source_register_rows": 115,
    "external_denominator": 105,
    "fetch_verified_external": 30,
    "search_only_external": 75,
    "fetch_verified_pct": 29,
    "top_companies": 10,
    "top_repos": 10,
    "innovation_hypotheses": 50,
    "industry_priors": 17,
    "decisions": 10,
    "rejected_decisions": 4,
    "duplicate_ids": 0,
    "invalid_json_rows": 0
  },
  "segment_breakdown": {
    "commercial": {
      "intake": 26,
      "conversation-intelligence": 8,
      "enrichment": 8,
      "ai-discovery": 7,
      "guided-selling": 6
    },
    "oss": {
      "introspection": 12,
      "task-mining": 9,
      "active-learning": 8,
      "org-graph": 8,
      "enrichment": 7,
      "process-mining": 6
    }
  },
  "checkpoints": [
    {
      "id": 1,
      "name": "prior-evidence-audit",
      "status": "complete",
      "path": "research/workstreams/2026-08-27-sprint-1/lanes/S1-L1/checkpoints/cp1-prior-evidence-audit.md"
    },
    {
      "id": 2,
      "name": "commercial-survey",
      "status": "complete",
      "path": "research/workstreams/2026-08-27-sprint-1/lanes/S1-L1/checkpoints/cp2-commercial-survey.md"
    },
    {
      "id": 3,
      "name": "oss-local-estate-survey",
      "status": "complete",
      "path": "research/workstreams/2026-08-27-sprint-1/lanes/S1-L1/checkpoints/cp3-oss-local-estate-survey.md"
    },
    {
      "id": 4,
      "name": "first-principles-synthesis-and-verification",
      "status": "complete",
      "note": "first-principles.md + decision-ledger.json + post-write smoke + self-falsification correction"
    }
  ],
  "smoke": {
    "verdict": "PASS",
    "checks": [
      "all 7 required packet files present and non-empty",
      "all JSONL rows parse; 0 invalid",
      "decision-ledger.json parses",
      "0 duplicate IDs across registers",
      "all top-N IDs resolve into source-register",
      "top-N ranks contiguous 1..10",
      "industry priors = 17 unique industries",
      "writes confined to owned directories (git status verified)",
      "post-correction revalidation: all files parse after ladder and disjointness corrections"
    ]
  },
  "self_falsification": {
    "performed": true,
    "findings": [
      {
        "claim": "invasiveness ladder ordering",
        "result": "WEAKENED — inversion found by the lane's own audit",
        "detail": "The ladder is monotonic in ongoing access granted, not in sensitivity of data exposed. A rung-1 HAR export (no standing access) carries live cookies, bearer tokens and customer records; rung-4 attention telemetry (installed agent) carries only window titles. Conflating the axes would under-protect the cheap-looking rungs.",
        "correction": "Escalation now governed by two independent scores (access_persistence, content_sensitivity). Corrected in first-principles.md, research-report.md and decision-ledger.json (D-P01-02).",
        "status": "corrected_and_recorded"
      },
      {
        "claim": "no maintained permissive OSS structured-interview engine (claim 2)",
        "result": "QUALIFIED — survives only with the 'LLM-driven' qualifier",
        "detail": "Cross-segment audit found maintained, genuinely permissive questionnaire engines with real conditional logic outside the dialog segment: SurveyKing (MIT), xiaoju-survey (Apache-2.0), Formily, FormKit, uniforms, formio.js. Absent is an engine combining declarative question machinery WITH LLM-conducted adaptive interviewing.",
        "correction": "Build-not-adopt now scoped to the adaptive half only; deterministic question-graph half has adoptable prior art. Corrected in research-report.md, decision-ledger.json (D-P01-03) and lane-synthesis.md.",
        "status": "corrected_and_recorded"
      },
      {
        "claim": "only 1 of 55 commercial surfaces publishes a stopping rule (claim 3)",
        "result": "WEAKENED — definition-sensitive",
        "detail": "1/55 is correct for EXPLICIT CONFIGURABLE NAMED TERMINAL STATES (Fin for Sales). A second pass counted 13/55 rows mentioning some termination-adjacent mechanism (qualification, completion, escalation, routing, coverage). The headline is true only under the strict definition.",
        "correction": "Both figures now stated with their definitions in research-report.md; the 1/55 figure must never be quoted without its definition.",
        "status": "corrected_and_recorded"
      },
      {
        "claim": "CENA verification defect — addendum 2 not fully reconciled on disk",
        "result": "CONFIRMED — external finding, not self-caught",
        "detail": "P01 first-principles.md constraints table and checkpoints/cp2-commercial-survey.md line 34 still carried the unqualified '1 of 55 stopping rule' claim after report/state/ledger/synthesis were corrected.",
        "correction": "first-principles.md constraint row now states 1/55 explicit configurable named terminal states vs 13/55 termination-adjacent. cp2 checkpoint retained unedited as a dated receipt with an explicit SUPERSEDED notice appended, per evidence-immutability rule.",
        "status": "corrected_and_recorded"
      }
    ]
  },
  "blockers": [
    "Canonical ClientContext field set cannot be closed: depends on P02 minimum-spec (sufficiency) and P12 input contract (necessity), both unsettled in Sprint 1.",
    "Rung-0 Actionist-account source blocked on the unknown Actionist data/auth contract (U in current research).",
    "Scraping permission is a policy-owner decision, not a research finding; the lane can supply an auditable scrape log but not permission.",
    "Per-rung, per-industry acceptance rates unmeasurable without engagements.",
    "bupaR licence UNCONFIRMED (LICENSE file names no licence); must be read from DESCRIPTION before relied on as the permissive escape from pm4py AGPL.",
    "Fetch-verified fraction is 29% of external rows; both commercial agents hit usage limits mid-sweep."
  ],
  "unexecuted_falsifiers": [
    "Precompute elimination measurement vs question-only control",
    "Ladder acceptance rates per rung per industry",
    "17 cold-start question packs A/B against a generic opener",
    "Wants-vs-pain divergence rate across engagements"
  ],
  "boundaries": {
    "research_only": true,
    "client_data_used": false,
    "authenticated_vendor_access": false,
    "repositories_cloned": 0,
    "repositories_executed": 0,
    "builds_or_deploys": 0,
    "validated_demand_established": false,
    "admitted_blocks": 0,
    "implementation_authorized": false,
    "files_written_outside_owned_dirs": 0,
    "owned_dirs": [
      "research/workstreams/p01-client-intelligence/runs/2026-08-27-sprint-1-fable/",
      "research/workstreams/p02-outcome-product-spec/runs/2026-08-27-sprint-1-fable/",
      "research/workstreams/2026-08-27-sprint-1/lanes/S1-L1/"
    ]
  },
  "callback": {
    "target": "CENA",
    "channel": "herdr",
    "note": "Coordinator override received mid-run: final compact callback goes to CENA, not ACTIONIST-S1-L2-SUPPLY as the dispatch file states. Dispatch re-read to confirm the original target before applying the override.",
    "status": "staged_and_queued_to_CENA_pane_w659e02f80e5bb1-1"
  },
  "hashes_sha256_prefix16_final": {
    "research-report.md": "fb255c5059259454",
    "first-principles.md": "3c465e0b56176ec9",
    "decision-ledger.json": "a6f0820e7e8cf644",
    "source-register.jsonl": "0b8ace2040838601",
    "top-companies.jsonl": "d2568d3e2847fe73",
    "top-repos.jsonl": "1215e62b83e4091c",
    "innovation-register.jsonl": "ffcfb085117a0eff",
    "industry-discovery-priors.jsonl": "32bd6726fdbcbee8",
    "hash_note": "Final hashes after all self-falsification corrections and the CENA reconciliation fix (first-principles.md constraint row)."
  },
  "independent_review": {
    "status": "not_completed",
    "verdict_received": false,
    "self_audit_substituted": true,
    "self_audit_findings": 4,
    "caveat": "Depth-contract item 8 PARTIALLY met. An Opus adversary was dispatched but returned no verdict despite three requests; it sent only idle pings. The lane owner then ran the challenge itself across four headline claims and found four real defects (disjointness overreach, ladder axis conflation, claim-2 over-breadth, claim-3 definition sensitivity), all corrected. This is self-review, not independent review; the coordinator should weight it accordingly."
  }
}